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China’s consumer prices climb as Covid prompts food stockpiling

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As consumers stock up for possible stay-home orders, fresh vegetable prices increased by 24% in April. This is the delivery driver of Alibaba’s Hema Fresh in Beijing, May 10, 2022.

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BEIJING — China’s consumer and producer prices rose more than expected in April, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released Wednesday.

Consumer prices rose 2.1% in the last month compared with a year ago. The increase was caused by an increase of energy and fresh vegetable costs. According to Reuters, the reading exceeded expectations of a 1.8% increase.

This figure, which was the highest recorded since November’s 2.3% print, is also well over the average 0.9% inflation in consumer prices for the past 18 months. China’s official CPI target for 2022 is “around 3%.”

In a Wednesday report, Goldman Sachs analysts stated that food prices rose due to higher transportation costs and the restocking of demand from tighter Covid regulations.

According to the report, “In year-overyear terms we expect CPI inflation will rise while PPI inflation will fall on base effects.” CPI inflation might moderate over the next few years as food prices and inflationary pressures may decrease due to the improving Covid situation China.

To contain China’s worst Covid epidemic since 2020, China has increased travel restrictions. Many factories have been unable to produce at their full potential or move goods between customers and suppliers because of these controls.

The fresh vegetable price rose 24% over the previous year, while prices of fresh fruits grew by 14.1%. China’s CPI is heavily influenced by pork, which saw an unusual 1.5% increase in April compared with the preceding month. It also experienced a milder drop of 33.3%.

The recent rise in commodity and oil prices led to fuel prices rising by 28.4% for transport vehicles compared with a year prior.

Sluggish consumer demand

But, China’s increasing consumer price index does not mean that locals will face the same. pressure that Americans do.

The U.S. consumer price indexes have risen by the most in eight years, even after removing food and energy. On Wednesday, the April number will be released. It is expected to stay close to that. decades-high increase of 8.5% seen in March.

China’s consumer price index increased by 0.9%, but not food or energy, in April, from one year ago.

Analysts warn that China’s overall consumer demand is likely to remain low in the long-term due to uncertain future income.

To attract customers, some businesses even reduce their prices.

The Caixin Services PMI for April — a monthly sentiment survey — found that businesses cut prices at the fastest pace since May 2020, “with a number of firms lowering their fees in order to attract new business amid muted demand conditions,” a release said.

Another survey conducted by manufacturers revealed that, despite an increase in manufacturing costs, the selling price of goods and services did not rise as much as businesses tried to attract more business.

High factory prices

China’s producer price index increased 8% year on year in April. It was the fourth straight month of moderated activity. This was higher than the 7.7% forecast by Reuters.

Within PPI, purchase prices rose far more quickly than so-called factory gate prices — the price of goods sold from factories for further manufacturing or sale to distributors.

According to Bruce Pang of China Renaissance, the head for macro- and strategy research, this is an indicator that costs aren’t evenly distributed in different industries.

This means that different companies will experience different types of impacts on profit margins.

Pang, speaking in Chinese and translated by CNBC said that the “urgent necessity” of a monetary-fiscal policy is to help companies affected by this pandemic.

CNBC Pro has more information about China

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