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Dollar Drifts Lower as Commodity Currencies Thrive; Central Bank Speeches Eyed By Investing.com

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© Reuters.

Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com — The dollar traded mostly lower in early dealings in Europe on Tuesday, ahead of what is set to be a quiet day dominated by U.S. corporate earnings and sentiment.

After falling 0.3% on Monday, the index that measures the greenback’s performance against other currencies fell to 93.64% at 3AM ET (0700 GMT).

Most of the greenback’s losses were against commodity and emerging currencies, with the still surging after higher-than-expected September inflation figures brought the prospect of more aggressive interest rate hikes into play on Monday. Commodities remain hot, with commodities like tin and coal trading at substantial premiums relative to futures market prices. While the Russian ruble rose to its most recent high since July 2020 and both the and rose more than 0.7%,

However, also rose by 0.3% to $1.1648, its highest in three weeks, while sterling – another currency supported by shifting interest rate expectations rose to a two-month high of $1.3775.

The dollar was undercut by a drop in U.S. bond yields, which have turned down after failing to breach their June high during last week’s inflation scare. Following data released Monday that showed a decrease in U.S. September GDP, the benchmark Treasury yield dropped 1 basis points to 1.57%. 

There are only a few data points on Tuesday, including U.S. building permits and housing starts.  Instead, the day is filled with speeches from central bankers, including the Federal Reserve’s Mary Daly, Michelle Bowman, Chris Waller and, inevitably, Raphael Bostic. European Central Bank chief economic officer Philip Lane, Catherine Mann (BoE chief economist), and Andrew Bailey (Governor of England) are all scheduled to make an appearance.

Hungary’s central bank is expected to raise its key interest rate later for the fifth meeting in a row, by another 15 basis points to 1.80%. It is currently at 360.56 against the euro, a low of three months. The currency is among a few central and eastern currencies who have had to adjust their monetary policies by increasing inflation.

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