Stock Groups

EM flows tumble in November from year-ago record

[ad_1]

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO – A trader operates inside a New York Stock Exchange booth (NYSE) in New York City. November 8, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

NEW YORK, (Reuters) – Portfolio flows to emerging market countries slowed last month by $100 billion compared with a year ago and decreased from October. This was due to increased bets and weaker EM currencies and tighter U.S. monetary policies, according the Institute of International Finance.

According to IIF data, $15.6 billion was the non-resident flow into emerging markets last month. This compares with $18.6 million in October and $115.5 in November 2020.

According to IIF records dating back to 2005, the November 2020 inflow was by far the highest.

Last month’s inflows from emerging markets debt totaled $6.3 trillion, with nearly two-thirds going to China. Equities saw an inflow of $9.2Billion. $5B of that went to Chinese stocks.

Graphic: Portfolio flows into EM economies slow in November – https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-EMERGING/EMBARGOED/jnvweayalvw/chart.png

Jonathan Fortun from IIF said “Large Devaluations of EM Currency and Expectation of a Fed Tightening Cycle earlier than Expected affected the flow dynamic.” He added that worries over a COVID-19 new variant also contributed to weakening flows at the end.

Due to inflationary risk in the United States, tapering of bond purchases has been pushed back and rates at U.S. Federal Reserve have risen gradually. Many emerging market central banks are now tightening monetary policy.

EM currencies are suffering sharp losses in the face of a stronger dollar, even as interest rates increase. Last month saw the Russian ruble, South African rand, and Mexican peso all fall 4% to 4%, respectively. The Turkish lira, however, suffered its largest monthly loss ever, dropping nearly 29%.

According to an IIF Thursday note, flows to China’s emerging markets were “sudden stopped” in the fourth quarter.

Disclaimer: Fusion MediaWe remind you that this site does not contain accurate or real-time data. CFDs are stocks, indexes or futures. The prices of Forex and CFDs are not supplied by exchanges. They are instead provided by market makers. As such, the prices might not reflect market values and could be incorrect. Fusion Media is not responsible for trading losses that may be incurred as a consequence of the use of this data.

Fusion MediaFusion Media and anyone associated with it will not assume any responsibility for losses or damages arising from the use of this information. This includes data including charts and buy/sell signal signals. You should be aware of all the potential risks and expenses associated with trading in the financial market. It is among the most dangerous investment types.

[ad_2]