French economic rebound, inflation to moderate next year
[ad_1]
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO – People go to Mulhouse Christmas Market, France on December 15, 2021. REUTERS/Yves HermanPARIS (Reuters – French inflation and growth are expected to moderate after a more rapid than expected recovery in 2018. A tighter labour market is likely to boost wages. This was the forecast of Sunday by France’s central bank.
According to the Bank of France, this will be 6.7% growth for second largest economy in eurozone, up from 6.3% forecast previously.
According to the central bank, post-pandemic economic momentum will slow down next year with growth falling to 3.6%, then easing further back to 2.2% and 1.4%, respectively, in 2023, and 2024.
The report also stated that the inflation caused primarily by the high cost of energy would reach a peak in the last year, at 3.5%, before falling to below 2.2% at 2022.
According to the central banking, this rate will be higher than the inflation rates in the preceding years and would also be closer to levels seen prior to 2007-2008’s financial crisis.
Prices of manufactured goods saw a rise in prices as current supply chain problems abated. However, they returned to their long-term mean close to zero next year.
The central bank predicted that the prices of services would rise gradually, hitting 2.7% in 2024 due to tighter labor market. It also said that workers will be earning more, creating an inflation scenario like the ones seen from 2002-2007.
The forecaster predicted that the average rate of unemployment would fall to 7.8% in 2018 and 7.7% by 2024. The private sector would see wage growth of 4% next year. However, it would fall to 3% after that. This would be still higher than in the decade before the pandemic.
Fusion MediaFusion Media and anyone associated with it will not assume any responsibility for losses or damages arising from the use of this information. This includes data including charts and buy/sell signal signals. Trading the financial markets is one of most risky investment options. Please make sure you are fully aware about the costs and risks involved.
[ad_2]
