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Russia’s invasion is driving up air cargo costs

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AirBridgeCargo operates a Boeing 747-8F from Leipzig/Halle Airport.

Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

As consumers struggle with this issue, the cost to transport goods via air has risen since Russia invaded Ukraine last week. fastest pace of inflation in nearly 40 years.

Carrier, KLM Royal Dutch Airlines included. United Parcel ServiceBecause of Russian airspace closings, many are fueling up their planes using more expensive fuel in order to fly longer distances to Asia. This week, the United States saw its highest jet fuel prices for more than 10 years.

The United States joined Canada, Europe and many other countries in banning Russian planes from U.S. airspace on Tuesday. According to Cirium, aviation data firm Cirium, the U.S. saw more than 2500 flights departing Russia in January. 493 Russian flights used U.S. Airspace.

UPS made a decision on March 1st to avoid civilian aircraft being restricted by Russian airspace. UPS pilots union advised aviators that they would not use Russian airspace in the Northern Pacific (NOPAC), operations, until further notice.

As it becomes more expensive to ship anything, including manufacturing parts and perishables such as fruit or cheese imported from abroad, higher transportation costs will likely be passed on to customers. Prices for commodities, from wheat and aluminum, are currently on the rise.

Volga-Dnepr cargo giant, which transports large components like wing parts across the United States for various purposes, was included in the U.S. ban on Russian aircraft Boeing jets.

In a statement, the manufacturer of aircraft said that they work with a wide variety of logistics and supply chain partners in order to minimize any impacts.

Seasonal slump over

Some airlines are cancelling flights entirely, and Russian carriers have been hampered due to airspace bans. This reduced capacity has caused rates to rise during what is usually a seasonal slump for shipping after the year-end holidays.

Freight booking data platform Freightos reported that air cargo rates to Europe from China rose by 80% to $11.36 per kg this week, the highest rate since October.

FedExOn Thursday, Express announced that it is raising surcharges for international freight and packages. Some peak surcharges will more than double – such as the rate for shipping from Hong Kong to Europe, Africa and the Middle East, which the company will raise from 55 cents a pound to $1.20 a pound, according to a notice on its website.

Bruce Chan, Stifel Logistics analyst for logistics said this week in a note that as we near the COVID-19 two-year mark, the market is still suffering from the price and capacity ramifications. As there’s less capacity to absorb future supply shocks, they will feel more acutely.

Air cargo demandOver the past 2 years, prices have skyrocketed. Customers who pay a premium for a flight to bypass port congestions and to make up for any other backup supply chains, thereby allowing them to get goods faster to consumers and factories.

Higher ecommerce demand for pandemic supplies and lower aircraft capacities as international passenger travel plummeted has maintained rates steady, even prior to Russia’s invasion.

The cost of air cargo is increasing rapidly. This means that customers will have to decide how much they are prepared to pay for haulers, and what amount consumers will spend at retail.

Surging fuel costs

U.S. benchmark jet fuel was going for $3.32 a gallon on Wednesday, the highest in just over a decade that followed the biggest two-day jump since Hurricane Ike hit Texas in September 2008, said Matthew Kohlman, associate director for refined products pricing, S&P Global Commodity Insights.

The prices of gasoline settled at an unchanged $3.31 per gallon on Thursday.

Benchmark jet fuel in Asia this week hit more than eight-year highs and Europe’s benchmark hit a nine-year high, according to S&P data.

Freightos stated that the war in Ukraine could cause ocean shipping costs to continue rising. It was more than three times higher than the cost of last year when the Asia-to U.S. West Coast container measured 40 feet.

Air freight could be even more in demand if there are new port backups

“A lot of the time it’s, ‘I need these goods to keep my supply line open,'” said Jason Seidl, managing director and air freight and surface transportation analyst at Cowen & Co. “The cost of it not being there is very high.”

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