EBRD sees Russian economy growing 3% in 2022, notes sanctions risk -Breaking
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© Reuters. FILEPHOTO: Aerial view showing Moscow, Russia’s capital. Oct 29, 2015. REUTERS/Andrey KuzminMOSCOW, (Reuters) – After expanding 4.3% last year, Russia’s economy will grow by 3.0% in 2022. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development stated on Thursday that the Russian economy would expand by 3.0% in 2022. However, there are geopolitical uncertainties which could affect the economic outlook.
After a sharp contraction of 11.2 years, the Russian economy is now back to its pre-pandemic level. It suffered a 3% plunge in 2020. It may face challenges from possible drops in the prices of oil, Russia’s main export, or multiple interest rate rises.
EBRD stated that the Russian economy was boosted by programs to spend on social issues, which are facilitated through higher commodities revenues in a report about regional economic prospects. However, forecasts can be subject to many risks.
It cited “geopolitical strains, particularly the risk of new sanctions and volatility oil and gas prices, demand and supply.”
According to EBRD, the Russian central banks’ forecasts predict that gross domestic product will grow at a rate of 4.0-4.5% per annum in 2021 and 2.3-0.0% annually in 2022-2024.
The following forecasts were provided by EBRD for Russia and other countries.
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