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UN climate talks drift into overtime in push to save 1.5 Celsius goal

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A delegate watches a screen at the UN Climate Change Conference in Glasgow, Scotland (November 8, 2021).

Yves Herman | Reuters

The deadline for two weeks of U.N.-COP26 climate negotiations in Glasgow was passed on Friday when the conference president called upon countries to give a last push to get commitments to limit the rise in temperatures that are threatening the planet.

A deal is expected to be reached by Saturday. However, it remains difficult to talk about issues like the end of subsidies for fossil fuels, carbon markets, and financial aid to poor countries in order to combat climate change.

The draft of Friday’s final agreement was released. It requires that countries set stronger climate promises next year in order to close the gap between the current targets and those set by the United Nations. deeper cuts scientists say are needed this decade to avert catastrophic climate change.

Alok Sharma of Britain, COP26 president, said, “We have made a lot in these past two weeks. Now we need the final boost of the ‘can do’ spirit which was present at this conference, to make this common endeavor a reality.”

Sharma said late on Friday that negotiations would continue through Saturday and that he anticipated a deal in the latter part of the day. He said that a revised version of the agreement will be made public Saturday to launch the final round of negotiations.

The meeting’s overarching aim is to keep within reach the 2015 Paris Agreement’s aspirational target to cap global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels, the limit scientists say would avert its worst effects.

Current national commitments to reduce emissions in the next decade have led researchers to believe that world temperature will soar well beyond this limit. This could lead catastrophic sea-level rises, severe droughts, and storms.

The new draft is a balancing act – trying to take in the demands of the most climate-vulnerable nations such as low-lying islands, the world’s biggest polluters, and countries whose exports of fossil fuels are vital to their economies. read more

China thinks that the existing draft should be improved to enhance and strengthen the sections about adaptation, finance technology and capacity building,” Zhao Yingmin said, climate negotiator at the biggest greenhouse gas emitter in the world.

Although the most important demand was for countries to make tougher climate promises next year (the draft), it contained weaker language. It also failed to include the annual rolling review of climate pledges as some developing nations have requested.

Currently, nations are required to review their pledges at least every five years.

Weaker language

In asking for states to eliminate subsidies for fossil fuels (coal, oil, and gas) that contribute the most to global warming, the latest proposal used slightly less language than the previous.

Some campaigners were dismayed by this, but others felt relieved to see that fossil fuels had been explicitly mentioned at any U.N. summit on climate change. They hoped it would endure the furious negotiations.

Greenpeace stated that “It can be improved, it should improve, and there is one day left for it to be a lot more better.”

“Right now the footprints of fossil fuel interest are still on this text, and this isn’t the breakthrough deal people hoped to see in Glasgow.”

Some thinktanks are more positive, and point to the progress made in funding to assist developing countries with dealing with the effects of a hotter climate.

Saudi Arabia is the second-largest oil producer in the world and is considered to be one of the most resistant nations to strict wording regarding fossil fuels. The latest draft has been declared “workable” by the kingdom.

The agreement must be approved by all 200 signatories to the Paris Agreement.

Demonstrators gathered in front of the COP26 venue where activists held ribbons bearing messages urging delegates to save the Earth.

According to the latest consensus of scientists, the world needs to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by at least 45% by 2030 from 2010, and net zero “around midcentury,” if it is to reach the 1.5C goal.

It would be a benchmark for future climate promises.

According to U.N., current pledges by countries would result in global emission increases of nearly 14% per year by 2030 compared with 2010.

‘Insanity’

The issue of fossil fuel subsidies remains a matter of dispute. Kerry said to reporters that trying curb global warming was impossible if governments continue spending hundreds of billions on fuels.

Debate is also raging over financial aid. Many developing nations are calling for more stringent rules that will ensure wealthy countries receive the support they need. historical emissions are largely responsible for heating up the planet, offer more cash to help them adapt to its consequences.

Poor countries failed to reach a 12-year old goal of $100 billion annually in climate finance by 2020. It has undermined trust and made some countries less willing to cut their emissions.

This sum is far below what countries actually require from the UN. It aims to tackle “mitigation” to aid poor countries in their ecological transition and “adaptation” to assist them with managing extreme climate events.

According to the new draft, the rich should increase their adaptation funds by at least two-thirds of current levels. It is an improvement over the prior version which didn’t set any baseline or date.

Helen Mountford from the World Resources Institute stated that this draft was stronger than previous versions.

We need to look at what is happening, how things will turn out in the end. But for now it seems positive.

In 2019, just 25% of $80 trillion was spent by rich countries on climate financing for poor countries.

The more controversial aspect of “loss & damage”, which would pay them compensation for the damages they’ve already sustained from global warming is also important. This amount, however, exceeds $100 billion. Some rich countries don’t recognize the claim. 

The final agreement must address this question, according to a group of countries that are vulnerable to the west. Tina Stege from the Marshall Islands, climate ambassador said that loss and damage are too crucial for us to agree on workshops.

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