Stock Groups

Why the lines between beer, soda and spirits are blurring

[ad_1]

Topo Chico Hard Seltzer

Source: Coca-Cola

Bud Light will add orange soda and cola to its seltzer; Mountain Dew has entered the alcohol aisles, and Molson Coors now offers a whiskey brand.

Beverage companies have been exploring new product categories in their quest for growth. They are blurring the boundaries between soft drinks, beer and spirits to be able to compete for the “share of the throat” from consumers. But some alcohol companies worry about the potential implications of such a change on the three-tier system, which has kept that industry alive — and legal — for 88 years.

In 2020, total beverage alcohol consumption rose 2% — the biggest gain for the industry in nearly two decades, according to IWSR Drinks Market Analysis. True to years-long trends, beer was the only category that saw a decline in volume. Consumers resorted to hard seltzer or making their own cocktails when locked out at home, and they have maintained these habits throughout the year.

Barclays analyst Lauren Lieberman, at Beverage Digest’s virtual conference “Future Smarts”, in December stated that “there are premium dollars going to ready-to-drink canned goods in a cooler and there’s growth again.”

Consumers are blurring the line, which is allowing more companies outside of the traditional to enter the market.

Ann Mukherjee

CEO, Pernod Ricard North America

Drink companies have reacted by forming partnerships to share their expertise. Take, for example: Beam SuntoryAnd Boston BeerAnnouced a partnership This summer, well-known brands such as Truly and Sauza would be relegated to new categories.

Non-alcoholic beverage companies, for their part are diversifying as soda consumption decreases. New regulated beverages markets like CBD-infused drinks are also on the horizon.

“We’re seeing it not just from beer competitors, we’re seeing it from nonalcoholic competitors — you’ve got Coke with Topo Chico,” said Ann Mukherjee, CEO of Pernod RicardNorth America. The lines are blurring and the consumers are those blurring them, which is allowing more companies, non-traditional, to enter the market.

Coca-ColaTopo Chico Hard Seltzer was launched Molson Coors BeverageIn the U.S., hard seltzer use exploded in 2021. IWSR reports that the U.S. hard-seltzer consumption grew by 130% between 2020 and 2021, which helped spirits consumption surpass it, though growth has slowed in this year. Topo Chico was the first American alcoholic beverage Coke sold since 1980.

Molson Coors said that Topo Chico, along with White Claw (and Truly) could be the third-most popular hard seltzer. Topo Chico is expected to close out 2021 holding 2% of the $4.3billion U.S. hardseltzer industry, even though it’s only sold in about a third of US states. The nationwide launch of the drink is planned for January.

Molson Coors had net sales in the latest quarter of $2.82billion. This is 2% less than 2017’s. The stock fell 53% over the past five years as the beer market has slowed and the company began to transform its portfolio. Coca-Cola has had its revenue rise 9.9% to $10 billion over the past five year. In that period, Coca-Cola’s stock price has increased 40%.

Hard Mtn Dew challenges status quo

PepsiCo announced today plans for a joint venture to make HARD MTN DEW, an alcoholic beverage.

Source: Boston Beer Company

PepsiCoThe company was not far behind archrival Coke. To announce its collaboration with Sam Adams beer brewer Boston Beer in August Hard Mtn Dew. The flavored malt beverage will contain 5% alcohol by volume and sell on the soda’s brand equity — without the high caffeine content.  

The drink has been controversial since its inception. National Beer Wholesalers Association has voiced concern about its launch scheduled for February. Pepsi granted Boston Beer a licence to make the beverage and established Blue Cloud to distribute it.

“They’re taking an existing product that’s known as a globally recognized soft drink brand and adding alcohol, creating a whole host of challenges as it relates to the regulatory side, but also public health … we’ve never had that before,” said Craig Purser, CEO of the NBWA.

One important concern is that soda branding for an alcoholic beverage could result in underage drinking — accidentally or on purpose. Boston Beer stated that Hard Mtn Dew’s cans will have “adult-oriented graphics”, which emphasize the fact that Hard Mtn Dew contains alcohol. This is part of the company’s efforts to distinguish the beverage from its soda. It also stated that it would limit its marketing efforts to consumers aged 21 and older.

The main argument of the NBWA is Pepsi’s possible impact on the competition and thus the three-tier system which has long governed alcohol industry. Following the 1933 repeal, alcohol producers adopted the three-tier system that separated distributors from licensed outlets. Alcohol producers are only permitted to sell their products to licensed importers, distributors and control boards, which in turn are only allowed to sell to licensed outlets — like liquor stores and restaurants.

It is designed to create a safe and legal marketplace while protecting against any Prohibition redux. Washington is only place where producers can directly sell alcohol to retailers.

Tyler Theile is chief operating officer at Anderson Economic Group and director of public policies. States will need to become more cautious about which products can be sold in each category.

Pepsi has partnered with Boston Beer to license manufacturing. However, many states do not allow large producers to distribute their products. Pepsi is the sole owner of most U.S. bottling plants, so it can distribute about three-quarters all North American beverage sales.

Anheuser-Busch InBevThe U.S.’s largest producer of alcohol, Purser, has self-distributed in some markets. Purser suggests that Anheuser-Busch accounts for 6 to 8% percent of its total volume.

“If successful, [Pepsi’s]A move into alcohol could create a new revenue stream and increase profit. This would be in addition to leveraging the existing distribution network’s extensive distribution assets. It will also challenge the oligopolistic distribution systems of beer. [AB InBev]And [Molson Coors]”A viable third option in beverage alcohol distribution,” Steve Powers, Deutsche Bank analyst, wrote in a December 12 note to clients.

Pepsi’s product lines are blurred, and this means that they have to navigate new regulatory waters. A lot of consumer goods companies charge retailers “slotting charges” to get more space in supermarkets or a premium area. These fees are illegal for alcohol distributors and producers.  

Powers stated that PEP would claim it doesn’t offer “slotting fees” in the US. However, any perceived payment for placing on PEP’s (direct or indirect) part or signs of camouflaging payments could have serious implications for PEP (including suspension or fines for its distributors.”

Powers said also that Pepsi acquired a fleet of trucks for alcohol distribution. However, it is likely to move to ship Hard Mtn Dew directly to retail customers using the same trucks as those that transport its other products such as Gatorade or Quaker Oats.

General manager of Pepsi’s alcohol business unit Emiliano Di Vincenzo stated in a statement that Blue Cloud had filed federal applications to be allowed to trade as a wholesaler of beer in many states. Di Vincenzo said that it will distribute alcohol products made from independent brewers. Hard Mtn Dew and Pepsi bottlers will distribute Hard Mtn Dew.

Growth is difficult to overlook

Pepsi and Coke are moving beyond soda. Some beverage giants have added the product to their drinks lines. Dec. 16, AB InBev revealed that Bud Light Seltzer Hard Soda would be available in January.

Over the last 20 years, traditional soda has been under attack by health professionals who are concerned about diabetes and obesity. Beverage Digest’s annual report shows that carbonated soft drinks consumption dropped 4.7% between 2000 and 2020. Bud Light Seltzer’s soda version doesn’t have sugar and is less than 100 calories.

Andy Goeler (Vice President of Marketing for Bud Light) stated that Bud Light Hard Soda was perfect because soda is also a popular choice for many seltzer lovers.

The growth of beer-branded hard seltzers has slowed after a brief spike in sales. MKM Partners’ analyst Bill Kirk sent a note explaining to clients that it was likely that Bud Light Seltzer (and Constellation Brands Corona Seltzer) will be removed from the market. Corona Seltzer is rewriting its formula to revive sales while Bud Light Seltzer is focusing on new seasonal varieties and lines.

Hard seltzer is being replaced by flavored malt drinks and spirits are becoming more popular among brewers. In recent years, this category has enjoyed a significant increase in its consumption. Whiskey and mezcal have boosted it, but beer remains sluggish.

Molson Coors’ Five Trail Whiskey was introduced in September by the company. The brand started in Colorado but has since expanded to three other states. The launch is yet another in the company’s shift beyond beer.

“The [whiskey]The category’s growing size and importance is not to be ignored,” David Coors said, Vice President Molson Coors’ Next-Generation Beverages Unit and great-greatgrandson Adolph Coors.

Coors malt is used and Rocky Mountain water is added to the whiskey. This gives Coors more credibility.

“There are always critics, but we have tried hard to build both the product and brand as tightly as possible to minimize any critics who tried to get after it,” he stated.

Which one wins the right to win and stay?

Coors said that while distillers may be unhappy about the beer giant intruding into their territory; however, Coors also noted that these two industries had been fighting for some time and spirits companies were pushing canned cocktails.

He said, “It is as competitive as any landscape I’ve ever seen.”

It is a volatile time for the alcohol industry. We are waiting to see which products will become popular and which ones disappear after they fail to gain traction.

Pernod Ricard’s Mukherjee stated that there is a lot to be learned by companies if they want to compete in the space. Each competitor has a unique set of skills, but it will ultimately come down to the customer who decides who stays and wins.

Experts say that the partnerships formed to produce these products might end up in a void. Bonnie Herzog from Goldman Sachs stated at Future Smarts that many companies are currently in the learning stage, trying to learn how to market their drinks. They may choose to acquire or push harder into these categories in the future.

CBD Drinks: The foundation

The push to alcohol for Coke and Pepsi could lead them into new markets with greater potential growth, such as CBD drinks.

The cannabis plant produces CBD or cannabidiol. It is believed to provide therapeutic relief. CBD does not contain THC which gives users high levels of cannabis. It is currently prohibited by the Food and Drug Administration to sell food and beverages with CBD. This makes the biggest names in the beverage industry reluctant to drink CBD-infused drinks. Upstarts such as Recess Sparkling Water and Empress Teas have not been quite so cautious.

Cannabis company Canopy GrowthCorona Brewer partially owns the brewer. Constellation BrandsA line of CBD-infused bubbly waters was also launched in the U.S. by Pepsi earlier this year. Pepsi launched in Germany a line of cannabis-infused drinks through Rockstar Energy.

Thiele, Anderson Economic Group, stated that CBD beverages will be a major player in the future. They can get into the alcohol-regulated beverages market, which gives them the opportunity to possibly continue in the CBD-regulated beverage market in the future.

[ad_2]