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Dollar stagnates as traders wait on Powell for policy hints -Breaking

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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO – This illustration, taken on May 26, 2020, shows a U.S. Dollar banknote. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Kevin Buckland

TOKYO (Reuters – The U.S. currency hovered in the middle its most recent range against major peers Tuesday, as traders aimed to Jerome Powell’s nomination hearing late in the day for more clues regarding the timing and pace policy normalisation.

Powell, in his prepared opening remarks Monday will pledge that high inflation will not become “entrenched”, but will leave out any mention about plans for monetary policies.

In his bid to be elected for another four-year term, however, he is open to answering questions from senators.

Early in the Asian session, the, which compares six currencies, was hovering around 95.93

On Nov. 24, it hit a 16-month-high of 96.938, amid increased hawkishness of Fed policy makers. But, it has been held between that level, and 95.544 for less than one week. Despite a continuing ramping up in rhetoric, Wall Street banks are now predicting four quarter-point rate rises this year.

TD Securities strategists felt that the Fed seemed to be thinking “sooner not later” in order to increase rates and run its balance sheet following the termination of bond-buying stimulus – a process referred as quantitative tightening.

They wrote that a positive affirmation of tightening in March and QT early should help USD firmness overall within established ranges.

TD anticipates a June first increase, however it is possible that it could happen as soon as March.

The price of money markets is set for an increase in May and two additional increases by November.

On Wednesday, the U.S. consumer inflation data for December will be available. The headline CPI figure is expected to rise by 7% year-on-year, which could make it more difficult to raise interest rates.

After rebounding from a overnight low of 115.045, the dollar was unchanged at 115.23 Japanese yen.

Euro was flat at $1.13325 and remained in the middle part of its trading range from mid-November.

Sterling settled at $1.35825, after falling from Monday’s high of $1.36025 for two months.

Australian dollars rose 0.1% to $0.71860. This was supported by local retail sales data, which were much more than forecasted.

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