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Marketmind: Transatlantic split -Breaking

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© Reuters. FILEPHOTO: This sign can be seen in front of Department of Commerce before an anticipated report on new home sales figures in Washington (U.S.), January 26, 2022. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts

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Sujata Ro shows us the future.

Could Europe do better than the U.S.’s Q4 GDP of 6.9%? This is an all-time high since 1983. Both yes and no.

France has just released data that shows the country’s economy grew at 7.7% in 2021, the highest rate of growth in 52 years. Sweden also beat all expectations with 6.4%. German growth will be expected to slow down at 2.7%.

It’s not too late.

The euro is likely to lose its largest weekly percentage against the dollar this week and may fall below $1.11 for only the second time since mid 2020. This week, the nearly 2% have seen an increase in their confidence due to the promise of an aggressive Fed Rate Rise campaign and buoyant economic data.

The “real” yields on bonds can show the reasons why U.S. and Europe split, as usual. The U.S. 10-year yields are now minus 0.5%, twice the level at which they were at end-2021. While its German counterpart is around 1.8%

Wall Street suffered losses on Thursday. Apple (NASDAQ: ) however, posted record holiday-quarter revenues, despite the difficulties in its supply chain. Although shares increased 5% in the hours after, Apple (NASDAQ:) posted record holiday-quarter sales, despite being down close to $400 billion from its peak value. Can more buyers be found?

To see if there is a peak in price growth, markets will also be watching U.S. core PCE. The expectation is for an increase to 4.8% which would make it the highest reading since 1983.

Stock markets are pointing to the north again after an Asian bounce. Europe has managed to close firmer than usual on Thursday, which shows that it is more resilient. The pan-European STOXXX Index is now down 3.5%, or -9% this year. However, the index actually remains in the green.

GRAPHIC: Apple market cap, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwpkrjrlyvm/Pasted%20image%201643320036979.png Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Friday:

UniCredit Italy reports higher-than-expected profits and full-year revenue

Portuguese Snap election: A rocky road ahead

Consumer and business sentiment in the -Eurozone

Colombia to hike interest rates

The U.S. core PCE index December/University of Michigan inflation forecasts

-U.S. earnings: Chevron (NYSE:), Caterpillar (NYSE:), Colgate Palmolive

-European earnings: Caixabank, Unicredit (MI:), H&M, Electrolux, Volvo, Telia, Svenska Celulosa

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