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Grocery prices keep rising but CEOs say shoppers are still buying

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Customer shops in a supermarket on February 10, 2022 in Miami. According to the Labor Department, consumer prices rose 7.5% in February compared with twelve months ago. This is the largest year-over-year rise since February 1982.

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The prices of food and drinks are on the rise, but chief executives from PepsiCo’sRamon Laguarta Tyson Foods’Donnie King claims that people aren’t reluctant to pay more for Lay’s chips and chicken nuggets.

Food and beverage companies are attempting to increase their profits by cutting package sizes, reducing promotions, or increasing prices at the grocery. Companies must strike the right balance between increasing prices to compensate for higher costs and making products more affordable to consumers. Consumers could trade down to lower-priced alternatives such as private label brands.

Pepsi’s Earnings Call in February was attended by Laguarta, who stated: “We are happy about how consumers remain loyal to our brands despite some of our pricing decisions.”

It was January producer price indexAccording to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, final demand increased by 1%. It tracks the rising cost of commodities produced in domestic countries. Prices for food rose 1.6% in December compared to 12 months ago and 12.3% in January.

The BLS reports that food prices rose 0.9% in January for consumers versus a month prior and by 7% for the year-ago. consumer price index. Many people have found that they are able to shop at their local grocery stores with more cash after being given government stimulus funds during the pandemic.

These inflation measures were taken before. the Russian invasion of UkrainePrices have risen already due to this. oil and gasMetals and grains — all key exports of Russia. Aluminum prices hit a recordThe London Metal Exchange quoted a high price of $3,450 per tonne. However, many companies still hedge in order to avoid short-term increases in commodity prices. It’s not known how long this crisis will continue and when the shoppers will begin feeling the pinch.

Cracks in the foundation

The following is the Thursday schedule Procter & GambleManufacturer of consumer staples such as Pampers diapers and Tide detergent, the company expressed concern about rising inflation.

In the virtual CAGNY presentation, CFO Andre Schulten stated that while it was too early to proclaim success, the strong portfolio and broad-based gains in share, as well as the in-market results so far, “we feel fairly well-positioned to execute pricing,” he said.

P&G has raised prices across all 10 of its U.S. categories, affecting about 80% of sales in its home market. This consumer-giant might be right to warn investors about possible bumps.

Nik Modi, RBC Capital Markets analyst, said that the cash pile most people have is shrinking fast and that elasticity has started to return to pre-pandemic levels. With inflation and rising gas prices we’re beginning to notice some market weakness.

Modi stated that lower-income categories like beer, tobacco and energy drinks are starting to be traded down by consumers looking for cheaper alternatives.

He said, “There are cracks in foundation and we will have to monitor them.”

WalmartThe U.S.’s largest grocery store, he said shoppers are paying attention to rising pricesfrom inflation even though it’s not yet showing in their behaviour. CFO Brett Biggs spoke last week to CNBC and stated that the average consumer is in good health due to the low unemployment rate, the rising wage rates and the increase in savings from the pandemic.

Miller Lite brewer Molson Coors BeverageThis was the same thinking that the company echoed during Wednesday’s earnings call. The beverage company raised its prices by 3% to 5% in January and early February — sooner than its usual springtime price hikes and at a slightly higher than typical level.

Gavin Hattersley, CEO, stated that the prices have risen 3% to 5.5% for them, which is lower than the inflation rates.

Backlash against price hikes

Even though consumers don’t hesitate to accept higher prices, companies are already being criticized for increasing prices in order to preserve their profits margins.

You can take, Sen. Elizabeth Warren,A Massachusetts Democrat has taken on Tyson’s price increases, claiming that they have exceeded necessary levels due to the fact that Tyson doubled its first quarter profits.

Biden’s administration is currently looking into Tyson. It has claimed that Tyson has been a victim to consolidation in meatpacking, which in turn has led to higher prices for pork, beef and chicken in recent years.

Tyson, however, has justified its actions. CNBC received a statement from Tyson stating that “Economists, industry analysts, and others confirm today’s high meat prices as a result of lower labor costs, increased input costs such as fuel and grain, and stronger consumer demands.”

Tyson announced in February that the cost of its goods had risen 18% from the prior year. Tyson responded by raising its sales prices for the fiscal first quarter to 19.6%.

On the company’s most recent earnings call, CEO King stated that “this helped us capture some unrecovered cost due to the timinglag between inflation and the price.”

Tyson executives shared the view that customers aren’t afraid to pay more for pre-prepared foods. This includes Hillshire Farm and Jimmy Dean brands.

Modi, RBC’s chief economist, stated that Tyson is facing real cost rises.

They need to decide if they will accept the price. He said that they do not need them to survive but must take them in order to preserve their margins. Protecting their margins will allow them to invest in marketing. [research and development.]

He stated, “Quite frankly the retailers would not allow them to accept cost increases if that wasn’t justifiable.”

For example, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said on its earnings call that the retailer leans on its long relationships with food and beverage companies to keep prices down for customers.

McMillon stated that during periods of inflation, families with middle incomes, families with lower median incomes, and even wealthy families are more price sensitive.

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