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Dollar Up, Rouble Steadies but Focus Still on Ukraine Conflict -Breaking

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© Reuters.

By Gina Lee

Investing.com – The dollar was up on Tuesday morning in Asia. Following a crash to record levels, the ruble stabilized while the safe-haven currency yen held firm after seven consecutive weeks of massive rallies. However, investors’ focus remains on the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

By 10:04 ET (03:04 GMT), the that monitors the greenback against other currencies had edged up 0.6% to 96.847

This pair edged up 0.4% to 115.16

With the Australian dollar being risk-sensitive, trading was at an almost one-week peak. The pair fell 0.01% to 0.7261 Later in the day, The Federal Reserve will announce its policy decision. Inching up 0.1%, the pair climbed to 0.6760.

This pair climbed 0.03% to 6.33115.

It fell by 0.03%, to 1.3435.

After the opening round of ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, currency markets slowed down a bit. The ruble also recovered some of the dramatic losses it suffered earlier this week when it plummeted as high as 30%. The West continues to put pressure on Russia by imposing sanctions and removing some Russian banks form the SWIFT global network.

In an emergency, the Bank of Russia and the Central Bank of the Russian Federation increased the interest rates by 20%. Last traded at 102 was the rouble.

According to A.A., currency volatility reached its peak in the last 14 months Monday. Deutsche Bank (DE:) index.

The Ukraine-Russian talks are not moving forward and the news from Ukraine is still bleak. The West continues to try to isolate Russia, and fighting rages,” Rodrigo Catril (National Australia Bank Ltd.), senior foreign exchange strategist said in an email.

Instability will continue to put safe-haven currencies like the euro and bids under pressure. The Australian dollar, however, has held steady due to high commodity prices and Australia’s geographical distance from conflict.

The dollar was affected by the overnight drop in U.S. 10-year benchmark yields to almost a month low. Investors sought security in Treasuries even though the U.S. Federal Reserve plans to increase interest rates at its March 2022 policy session.

CME’s Fedwatch tool also shows that investors are now willing to lower their odds of a Fed 50 base-point rate rise to 8.5% because of the Ukraine crisis. Raphael Bostic of Atlanta Fed stated on Monday that the Fed is open to a half-point rate hike.

“The bottom line is, do not write off a 50bp increase,” Commonwealth Bank Of Australia strategist Joseph Capurso said in his own note, warning that market pricing had gotten too low.

“The near-term trends in the USD will be dominated by the war, but the medium-term trends in the USD will be determined by the economic data,” said the note.

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