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With record-breaking prices, here’s how much gas might cost this year

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Due to the Ukrainian invasion, the average gasoline price rose to $4/gallon. new all-time highThe cost of gasoline. These prices are expected to remain elevated, possibly all summer — or at least until the supply of oil catches up with demand.

The West has been avoiding Russian oil purchasesThe conflict in Eastern Europe has led to a reduction of global crude oil supplies.

Regular-grade gas prices reached $4.173 on Tuesday — a 55.4 cent increase from a week ago, according to the American Automobile Association. The increase comes in addition to 40% year-over-year increaseGas prices at the end January The gas price has risen by more than $1 per gallonOn average, 2021

It is important to note that although gas prices have been steadily rising, they do not reflect inflation. It is important to note that the gas prices are not a measure of inflation. actual costCurrent prices look similar to their former value to consumers in the 2010sIn 2004, retail gas prices were at $4 per gallon. Fuel efficiency for passenger cars has increased over the years by an average of 4%. few miles per gallonThis might help reduce the overall cost.

Russia’s influence on crude oil prices

The United States imports 8 percent of its oil from Russia. according to Reuters. Comparable to European Union (EU), imports 27% of its crude oil from RussiaThe 2019 E.U. data shows that the U.S. is less dependent on Russian oil. According to 2019 E.U. data, Russia is less important than the United States. 

Despite being less exposed to Russian oil exports directly, Americans still feel the pinch.

“The problem is that oil has been and remains a global market,” says Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for Gas Buddy. “When oil is getting choked off — a kink in the hose, so to speak — that impacts everyone that consumes oil, as well as the price.”

Gas prices are more volatile than most commodities because they are sensitive to changes in demand and supply. 

This price sensitivity is evident in price increases in 2021. Oil production was briefly cut off early during the pandemic. has yet to catch up with growing demand. As well as seasonality, supply chain problems are another reason. Summer, when most people are traveling more often, is when gasoline prices rise.

Is it reasonable to anticipate gas prices at $6 or $7 per gallon?

The average retail price of gas in over 10 states is currently over $4.346California is the highest at $5.444 per gallon. Many consumers wonder if these higher prices will continue. 

For now, Americans need not worry about $6 and $7. [per gallon]De Haan warns that such an increase in oil demand would be accompanied by unforeseen circumstances, such as hurricane damage to oil rigs in Gulf of Mexico.

The rate at which price rises will slow down is what he expects, and it will remain elevated through 2022, unless there are major changes in crude oil markets.

We are now projecting a national average annual income of $3.99. De Haan says that he thinks this is likely to hold. According to De Haan, the current price of a barrel oil at $115 per barrel means that the pumps’ prices reflect this. But if oil prices jump up by $20 per barrel  — something not seen since 2008 — then the pace of retail gas price increases will accelerate again.

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