Dollar Down, Euro Steadies as Investors Await ECB Policy Decision -Breaking
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© Reuters. By Gina Lee
Investing.com – The dollar was down on Wednesday morning in Asia, while the euro took a breather. Investors believe that the sky-high prices of energy, grain, and metals could lead to a decrease in demand over time.
That tracks the greenback relative to a basket currency fell 0.05% to 99.035 at 10:36PM ET (3:36AM GMT) – just below a 22 month high.
It rose 0.15%, to 115.84. Japan’s GDP grew 1.1% and 4.6% in the fourth quarter of 2021.
The pair edged up 0.15% to 0.7277, with Australia’s contracting 4.2% in March. They increased by 0.10% to 0.6811.
It fell 0.03 percent to 6.3168. Chinese data earlier today showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 0.6% in February 2022 and 0.9% in February 2022. Year-on-year, the producer price index increased 8.8%.
It climbed 0.08% up to 1.3114.
Early trade saw the euro steady, returning from Monday’s 22-month low at $1.0806 on Monday. It traded at $1.0898. The single currency also received a boost from news that the European Union had reportedly discussed joint bond issuance.
Any issuance may signal stimulus measures or an eventual fiscal union. However, there were not many details. Investors also cautioned that the euro would not rise as long as the Russian invasion continues in Ukraine.
“Our near-term pessimism is driven by a view that investor fears that the war could extend beyond Ukraine’s borders will not dissipate quickly,” Standard Chartered global head of G10 FX research Stephen Englander told Reuters.
After the quarter ends, the euro will drop to $1.06 before creeping up to $1.14 at year’s close if an agreement is reached to limit fighting. But it would likely decline below parity in the event of war spreading across the globe, he said.
Investors now look to the European Central Bank’s latest , due on Thursday. The likelihood of stagflation is increasing, so investors are betting that the European Central Bank will defer interest rate rises to 2022.
As rising commodity prices drive trade terms, the recent shift towards commodity currencies may be slowing. The economic slowdown is also being caused by rising raw material costs, which act as a tax for consumers. Australian dollars have stabilized, and are now about 2% lower than Monday’s 4-month high of $0.7440.
Carol Kong, strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia told Reuters that market participants could shift their views from ‘buy Australian Dollars because commodity prices have high’ to sell Australian USD because high commodity prices will lead to demand destruction.
It is possible to test AUD/USD at $0.7000, before the effects of war subside.”
The first opening of Russia’s offshore currency market will take place later this day. Along with other Russian assets the rouble has suffered a significant decline since February 24, when Ukraine invaded.
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