Why a Russia-Ukraine deal may be difficult to reach
[ad_1]
According to Francis Fukuyama (a senior fellow at Stanford University’s Freeman Spogli Institute of International Studies), it will not be easy to reach a diplomatic solution to the conflict in Ukraine without a change on the ground.
He stated that both sides had lost so much, that compromise solutions that required concessions are not acceptable politically. “Street Signs Asia”On Wednesday
According to him, Ukraine is not willing to take less than Russia’s complete withdrawal from its prewar territory.
Fukuyama said, “If they don’t retreat to the positions that they held on February 23rd before invasion,”
“He basically concedes Ukrainian territory to Russian aggression,” said he.
They have abandoned their vehicles and are now demoralized. They aren’t sure why they are fighting.
Francis Fukuyama
Stanford University
Russia, on the other side, cannot accept to give up any territorial gains made since the beginning of the conflict in Ukraine.
It would be that [President Vladimir Putin] launched this massive war, he’s taken massive casualties and inflicted massive casualties — all for nothing,” Fukuyama said.
He said, “A solution must be awaiting new developments on-the battlefield.”
Russia wants Ukraine, apart from the territorial dispute, to sign a neutrality accord. something that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said he is prepared to do.
Zelenskyy said that he would compromise with Russia in regard to Donbass, an unrest-prone region of the east Ukraine.
Demoralized and ‘Destroyed’
Fukuyama admitted that it was impossible to predict what the war would turn out but said Russia had been defeated north of Kyiv.
“They say they’re only regrouping. But, it is clear that the Ukrainians destroyed a quarter to a a third, of their massive force,” he stated.
Fukuyama claimed that Ukraine is more likely to win the war than he was because of their higher morale.
The Russians are demoralized and have abandoned their cars. He said that they don’t understand why they are fighting and added that Russia’s cars were not maintained well due to corruption.
However, there were “tens to thousands” of Ukrainians who returned home to defend their homeland.
Fukuyama stated that they were motivated by “a deep sense patriotism” and “national identity”.
He stated that “those are the factors that truly play a major role in determining how the military conflict will end.”
[ad_2]