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Amazon shares sink 12%, on pace for worst day since January 2014

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Andy Jassy is the chief executive officer at Amazon.Com Inc. during the GeekWire Summit held in Seattle (Washington, U.S.A) on Tuesday Oct. 5, 2021.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Shares AmazonAfter the closure of the company, Friday saw a drop in stock prices as high as 12% gaveWall Street estimates fell short of the actual quarter revenue forecast. This could make Amazon’s worst year since January 2014, if losses persist.

Amazon claimed Thursday that revenue projections for its second quarter are between $116 billion-$121 billion. That’s less than the 125.5 billion analyst average, according to Refinitiv.

Amazon’s core retail business is now in limbo as the economy recovers from the pandemic. Operating expenses at Amazon are growing faster than the company’s sales. Amazon made significant investments to expand its supply chains and staff warehouses. However, the company now faces inflation rising along with increasing labor and transportation costs.

According to the second quarter forecast, revenue growth may slow to between 3% and 7% in comparison to last year. This is a significant decrease from the 1st quarter when Amazon’s revenue grew by 7%.

Amazon’s second-quarter loss was $3.8B, which is a significant drop from the $8.1B profit it made a year earlier. Amazon’s investments in an electric vehicle manufacturer Rivianimpact on their profits.

The company was able to meet expectations with sales of $6 million less than expected, but the main headline was its first quarter loss since 2015. This loss per share came at $7.56 or $16.00 short of Street expectations. Blair analysts wrote a note on Thursday. They have an outperform rating for Amazon shares and a client-friendly outlook. The company’s investment in Rivian Automotive resulted in a pretax loss of $8 billion. Remember that the company received a $12 million benefit from the investment in its previous quarter. Our estimate of the earnings per share for the company, which excludes the investment-related loss, is around $3.40. That’s still 60% lower than the consensus, given that the company continues to experience headwinds from shipping, labor, excess capacities, and difficult prior-year comparisons.

Truist Securities’ Youssef squali, an analyst, remains positive that Amazon’s outlook for the second half will improve. Squali wrote to his clients Friday that he expected Covid-related cost, together with inflationary and labor pressures, will decrease in the coming year. Amazon’s fulfillment network, however, will improve as people and supply chain issues settle down.

Squali said that Amazon shares are a good investment and that there should be measurable improvements in labor efficiency and fixed costs in 2H22. He recommends starting with Prime Day July, and continuing on to the Seasonally Strong 4Q22.

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