Buffett Lures Fans to Omaha With Stock Buys, Inflation Talk -Breaking
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© Bloomberg. The Berkshire Hathaway annual Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska (USA) on Saturday April 30, 2022 saw attendees finding their seats. Warren Buffet, along with his assistants have been increasing Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s acquisitions machine – buying shares in Occidental Petroleum Corp. & HP Inc. as well as a $11.6 billion deal for Alleghany Corp.(Bloomberg) — As war broke out in Europe and U.S. inflation soared, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:) Inc.’s Warren Buffett was doubling down on a tried-and-trusted strategy to navigate the fallout.
He went on the largest stock-buying spree he had ever done in over a decade. He and his deputies dug deeper into the U.S. stock market and expanded the conglomerate’s stakes in Chevron Corp. (NYSE:) and Activision Blizzard Inc (NASDAQ:)., even as Buffett acknowledged the “extraordinary” price increases in Berkshire’s businesses.
Buffett, who held court in Omaha, Nebraska, on Saturday at Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting, had faced questions about why he didn’t take advantage of the downturn when the pandemic took hold. Now, as war and inflation fuel market volatility, prompting the S&P 500’s worst quarter in two years, he’s ramped up amid the uncertainty, making $41 billion in net stock purchases in the first quarter. That’s the most in data going back to 2008.
“As long as Buffett and his team are paying reasonable prices for quality companies, these investments should do well in any environment — inflationary or otherwise,” said Darren Pollock, a Berkshire investor who’s a principal at Cheviot Value Management LLC. They reflect “the sheer volume of cash coming into Berkshire’s coffers along with what we think is becoming an increasingly obvious desire to get out of cash as inflation becomes more ingrained.”
Buffett said he couldn’t predict the trajectory of inflation over the coming months or years, though he said he’s seen price increases across his businesses. He also conceded — as he’s done before — that his firm hasn’t always been good at timing its asset purchases, though it’s been “reasonably good at figuring out when we were getting enough for our money.”
On the home front, Berkshire let up on one of its key capital deployment levers, signaling buybacks aren’t quite as attractive to the firm right now. Still, the $3.2 billion of repurchases it did make, coupled with its other investments, helped shrink the conglomerate’s cash pile to roughly $106 billion — a sum that’s still above Buffett’s preferred margin for safety.
Berkshire’s stake in Chevron, which totaled nearly $4.5 billion at the end of 2021, hit $25.9 billion at the end of March, according to its first-quarter regulatory filing. The firm’s Activision stake, which accounted for just 1.87% of the video game company’s common stock, jumped to 9.5% as Berkshire wagered its deal with Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:). Safely close. Activision shares were up 2.5% at $77.51 as of Monday morning’s early New York trading.
“It is my purchases, not the manager who bought it some months ago,” Buffett said on Saturday about the increased Activision stake. “If the deal goes through, we make some money and if the deal doesn’t go through, who knows what happens.”
The billionaire carefully navigated some of the year’s biggest topics, if he addressed them at all. Scarce explicit comments were made on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, though Buffett did address a question about the risk of nuclear weapons. He gave little away about Berkshire’s own succession plan.
Below are some other topics of interest that were brought up on Saturday.
Succession plans
Buffett last year confirmed that Greg Abel was his vice-chairman in charge of the non-insurance operation and the most suitable candidate for him to succeed as chief executive. Abel and Ajit Jain were joined by Charlie Munger (98), a Vice Chairman, for part of the meeting.
Buffett did not indicate that he would be leaving his position anytime soon. His appearance onstage reassured investors of his ability to continue to move at the same pace.
“The level of mental acuity and the humor is still there. It’s really something,” said James Armstrong, whose Henry H. Armstrong Associates oversees investments in Berkshire shares. “I feel pretty satisfied that management of the company is in good shape.”
Buffett joked that the top managers’ ages frankly require a chance for investors to check in on the leaders.
“It’s been three years and it’s a lot better seeing actual shareholders, owners, partners,” Buffett said to kick the meeting off in the morning. “If you’re the owner of a company and you’ve got two guys — 98 and 91 — running the company, you’re entitled to actually see them in person.”
The Inflation Problem
After warning shareholders last year, Buffett addressed inflation again. Bondholders as well as those with cash stashed under their couches are hurt by inflation.
“It swindles almost everybody,” Buffett said. “If you really could have a totally stable unit of monetary use for the next hundred years, it would be better for business and investors in general.”
Bloomberg Intelligence:
“Berkshire Hathaway’s net $41.5 billion purchase of equities in the face of inflation was the key takeaway from 1Q results, with the lack of share repurchase in April potentially signaling more cash deployment is on tap.”
Matthew Palazola (BI senior analyst in the industry) and Kylie Towbin (BI associate analyst)
To read more, click here
Berkshire’s businesses haven’t been immune to the pressures. Dairy Queen CEO Troy Bader said in an interview on Friday that it’s a real challenge. Brooks Sports Inc. CEO Jim Weber admitted the impact on Brooks Sports Inc., which produces running shoes. However, he expressed optimism that supply problems and inflation pressures will ease.
“There’s been such a bubble in demand post-Covid, people have been buying stuff at an incredible rate,” Weber said. “It isn’t going to crash, I believe, but it’s going to normalize. It will normalize, and I believe that all the capacity challenges in the supply chain will return to normal. I think some prices may be more attractive because there’s going to be overcapacity.”
Criticism
Buffett and Munger have been constant skeptics of cryptocurrencies, with Munger calling it a “noxious poison.” The pair aired their deep criticism again on Saturday, with Buffett noting that he’d rather own lots of farmland or apartments — what he calls productive assets — than Bitcoin.
“What would I do with it?” Buffett said. “It isn’t going to do anything.”
(Updates regarding Activision stock market in 7th paragraph, Activision quote 8th, Bloomberg Intelligence Research.
©2022 Bloomberg L.P.
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