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First-quarter GDP declined 1.5%, worse than thought; jobless claims climb


Sign that says “We are Hiring!” A sign reading “We’re Hiring!” is displayed at Los Angeles Starbucks.

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As a result, U.S. GDP fell more than expected to begin the year.

The first-quarter GDP dropped at 1.5% per year, according to the second estimateFrom the Bureau of Economic Analysis. It was much worse than the Dow Jones estimate of 1.3% and an understatement from the Bureau for Economic Analysis. initially reported 1.4%.

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Both residential investment and private inventory saw downward revisions, which offset an upward trend in consumer spending. The GDP was also affected by a growing trade deficit.

This quarter’s GDP decline was the most severe since Q2 2020, when the U.S. went into recession due to a shutdown economic policy imposed by the government. In that quarter, GDP fell 31.2%.

The majority of economists believe that the U.S. will see a rebound in its second quarter, as many factors which slowed growth earlier in the year have subsided. The omicron variant saw activity slow down, the Russian attack on UkraineInflation reached a new high due to supply chain problems that were causing inflation to rise by 40 percent.

CNBC’s Rapid UpdateSurvey shows that the median expectancy of growth for the second quarter is 3.3%; Atlanta Fed GDPNowTracker points out a rebound at an even slower 1.8% rate.

A resilient consumer who fights through is one factor that can propel growth inflation than accelerated 8.3%This is April 2016, one year ago.

The 3.1% increase in consumer spending was better than the initial 2.7% estimate. The labor market is strong. Wages are growing rapidly. However, inflation remains below this level.

The week ending May 14 saw 218,000 initial jobless claims. This is an increase over the revised downwardly adjusted 197,000 for the prior period, and slightly more than the estimated 215,000. the Labor Department reported. Although claims per week have increased steadily since reaching more than 50 years ago in 2022 but ongoing claims remain low.

The latest number of claims for continuation, as at May 7, was below 1.32 million. This is the lowest figure since Dec. 27, 1970.

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