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Quad’s maritime initiative could spur militarization of Indo-Pacific

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Quad’s MDA Program may increase militarization of the Indo-Pacific, as seen in this file photo where USS Nimitz, an aircraft carrier from America is leading a formation.

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Analysts fear that this move could result in militarization. The Quad countries are looking to monitor the movements of sub-sea ships and other vessels within the Indo-Pacific by using satellites.

CNBC was told by retired Maj. Gen. Dhruv Kathoch from the Indian Army that the Quad, while it is not yet a security group, has the potential for rapid metamorphosis into one. CNBC reports that if China belligerence becomes a threat to ASEAN, Southeast Asian nations may also consider joining such an organization.

The initiative’s military nature is also underlined by the fact that the program is driven by the respective navies of the four participating countries — the U.S., Australia, Japan and India.

Already the scene of an intensifying geopolitical struggle for influence between U.S. & China, Indo-Pacific was the site of “freedom to navigation” patrols by U.S.-, Australian-, German-, French, and British naval ships.

New Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain awareness program Announced at Quad leaders’ summit in TokyoIn May, an additional dimension will be added to the stateof vigilance.

Security maritime in the Indo-Pacific

IPMDA shares commercially-available satellite data with smaller Southeast Asian states to alert them if they are subject to territorial intrusions. It will also notify other countries if illicit activities such as illegal fishing or smuggling occur within their maritime borders.

The White House stated that the initiative would transform the capabilities of the partners in the Pacific Islands and Southeast Asia to monitor their waters and maintain a free Indo-Pacific.

China is involved in maritime territorial disputes. Chinese ships often stray into waters in dispute areas of the East and South China Seas.

Strategic is the real purpose of the maritime domain initiative.

Dhruv Katoch

Retired Major General, Indian Army

Participating in “information fusion centres” at four locations in New York will receive data about vessel movements. India, SingaporeAccording to the White House.

The Quad’s decision that it will offer data from its commercial satellites to other countries in the Indo-Pacific region is a great benefit to them. Katoch who has previously worked at the Indo-Tibetan frontier said that in South China Sea it would enhance cooperation between certain ASEAN nations and the Quad.

A light shining on “dark shipping”

The White House said the IPMDA will track “dark shipping”— or ships trying to evade detection by turning off their transponders which transmit identification and location data. The IPMDA will identify tactical activities as well, including Illegal transshipments Banned weapons and illegally caught fish

The data will integrate three critical regions — the Pacific Islands, Southeast Asia and the Indian Ocean region — in the Indo-Pacific.

According to Chaitanya Giri (an information systems consultant in New Delhi for the Indian Foreign Ministry’s Research and Information System for Developing Countries), the Quad could be used as a deterrent against Chinese naval expansion in Indo-Pacific.

According to him, the Quad initiative can track sub-sea vessels through commercial cables under the sea.

The Chinese navy seeks to expand its reach over the third, fourth and fifth island chains. To move towards the United States Coast, and to increase its presence on Guam and Hawaii. Giri said that the Quad would keep an eye on this.

These three chains form part of an overall geographical security system used by military planners. These three lines represent the successive land mass segments that run from the closest islands to China (e.g. Taiwan) through the Philippines, Indonesia, and finally ending at Hawaii at the Pacific’s other end.

Giri stated that the data could also be used to enforce laws.

He said that the near-real-time data available through the program includes ship identification numbers, call signs and their potential routes, as well as their ports of origin, final destinations, and port of origin. 

Giri explained, “These tools are essential to monitor dark shipping.” He also said that ground intelligence can be combined satellite data with satellite data in order to pinpoint the cargo onboard such vessels.

China could benefit from this information

China tops the list of countries that monitor illegal fishing according to IUU Fishing Index.

It is well-known that illegal ships are Chinese. Katoch, a retired general said that satellite data would confirm the fact and increase accuracy and capabilities.

CNBC asked China’s foreign ministry for comments. They said that the accusations had no “factual basis.”

China has played an active and constructive role in promoting peace throughout the region. [it]”To flourish”, the ministry stated in a statement. We don’t know from where illegal shipping described. “We also refuse to accept criticisms without any basis in fact.”

Katoch indicated that Quad would be well-received in the Indo-Pacific. From a commercial standpoint, this initiative would be a success. [maritime domain]Information is what smaller countries desperately need,” he stated, noting that it could be used to counter piracy and terrorism threats.

An analyst stated that the Quad had broader goals.

Pavan Choudary is chairman of Blue Circle in New Delhi, which is a geopolitical think-tank. “The maritime domain Initiative’s true purpose” he said. Although this initiative purports to be about preventing illegal fishing, it really serves as a way for Quad and its partners to move forward. [their]Security initiatives,” he said to CNBC.

Some people disagree with the conclusion that militarization is inevitable.

Gregory Poling from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that this initiative “isn’t militarily so much as law enforcement by nature.”

It will assist small, developing countries in the Indian Ocean and Pacific Oceans to enforce and monitor laws within their waters. He stated that the Quad is able to deliver public goods such as this to be more competitive with China than taking explicitly anti-Chinese actions.

Poling stated that China is the most prolific country in illegal fishing and other militia operations. But, Beijing will find this initiative embarrassing. However it must better regulate its fishing and militia fleets or it won’t be able to counter them.

A recent study found that China’s state-backed publication Global TimesAlthough the country was not named in the initiative, the paper stated that it had been clearly identified as being targeted by the initiative. According to the newspaper, “The mechanism made China the centre of its attention by hyped the country’s threat, and regardless of how sugarcoated it may be, very few countries in the region will believe what it says.” 

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