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Dollar set to snap 5-week win but yen hits lowest in almost 3 years By Reuters

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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO – An employee at an Egyptian money exchange counts U.S. dollars, on March 20, 2019, in Cairo. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany./File Photo

Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, Reuters – After a record-breaking one-year high, the dollar fell back against its major peers as traders focused on when the U.S. Federal Reserve would raise interest rates.

It measures the greenback’s value against six other currencies and was at 94.034 Friday. The, which measures the greenback against six rival currencies, is expected to decline 0.1% this week, despite reaching its highest level since September 25th last year (94.563) on Tuesday.

The safe-haven currency is also being affected by improved market sentiment that has led to an increase in global stocks and commodity prices, as well as bond yields.

The dollar has not been able to sustain its momentum over the last five weeks. It rose 0.16% Friday, touching 113.885yen for only the second time since December 2018.

Chris Weston (head of research, brokerage Pepperstone, Melbourne) wrote that “we end the week with risc flying.” In a client note.

Weston explained that equity prices are rising strongly and the JPY is not a good hedge. It would only slow down portfolio performance.

In response to expectations that the U.S. central banking would loosen monetary policy sooner than originally expected, the greenback had risen since September’s beginning. This was due to an improving economy as well as rising fuel prices.

Minutes from the Fed’s September Meeting confirmed that this week, a tapering off stimulus seems likely to begin. But policymakers still have a lot of disagreement about inflation and what they should be doing.

Current money market prices are predicting a rate increase of 25 basis points by July.

Westpac strategists stated in a client letter that the dollar index was “looking a little shakey”, but that any slippage should be minimal, with Fed tapering imminent.

According to them, any drops in the index should be kept below 93.70.

Retail sales numbers will be released on Friday, the next big test for the health of the U.S. Economy.

Following touching $1.1624 last Thursday, the euro dropped 0.09% and fell to $1.1588.

The Sterling currency was unchanged at $1.36705 after its rise to $1.3734 overnight, the highest level since Sept. 24, at $1.374.

After reaching an over-one-month-high of $0.74265 the previous session, risk-sensitive dollars fell 0.07% to $0.74105.

New Zealand dollar fell 0.6% to $0.7033. This was despite the fact that it held most of Thursday’s surge at 1%, taking it to $0.70415, its highest point since Sept. 24.

Bitcoin was trading at $57,000. It reached a 5-month high of $58,550 Thursday.

The price of smaller rival ether was around $3780. This is still below the $3,825.89 overnight high.



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