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Smaller Gain in U.S. PPI Hints of Cooler Inflation -Breaking

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© Bloomberg. An American flag is displayed in Bowling Green’s factory floor. Photographer: Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg

(Bloomberg). – Prices paid to U.S. manufacturers rose less in December than was expected. The two main drivers of inflation 2021 — energy and food — both declined slightly from one month prior, suggesting that there may be a gradual decrease in cost pressures.  

Labor Department data revealed Thursday that the producer price index of final demand rose from the previous month to the year before. This was the second largest annual increase since 2010.

According to a Bloomberg Survey of Economists, the median forecasts were for an increase in GDP by 0.4% from one month ago and an increase in annual growth by 9.8%. 

The PPI rose in December, excluding volatile foods and energy. It was higher than a year ago. 

Declines in fuel and food prices explains the December pullback. Although prices for services rose slightly from one month ago, they increased more slowly than the previous month. These figures indicate that rapid inflation may be slowing down after the combination of material shortages, limited labor supply and transportation bottlenecks caused prices to soar last year. 

The upside risks of the Omicron version are in short-term goods prices, which will be affected by illness and quarantines that prevent some from working. 

The consumer price index is closely followed inflation indicator and rose by 7% in 2013. This was the largest increase for nearly 40 years, data released Wednesday. According to data released Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will begin increasing interest rates starting in March after the monthly rise exceeded expectations. Economists predict that consumer inflation will slow down in the future.

The 0.4% increase in producer prices for food, energy and trade services, which excludes volatile ingredients, was a preferred measure by economists. Comparatively to the previous year, it rose 6.9%.

Latest Fed Beige Book Assessment:

“Wholesale and materials prices contributed to pricing pressures across a wide range of industries, spanning service providers and goods producers. Numerous contacts suggested that the ongoing disruptions in the supply chain could be blamed on high input costs. Some Districts reported that transportation bottlenecks had stabilized in recent weeks, though procurement costs remained elevated.”

In December, prices of intermediate goods, which represent earlier in the production process, fell 0.3%, marking the first decline since April 2020. The measure rose 24.4% compared to a year ago.

(Corrects historic in the second paragraph).

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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