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Dollar Drifts Lower as Chinese Rate Cut Supports Commodity Currencies -Breaking

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© Reuters.

Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com — The dollar started the week in subdued fashion after news of a Chinese interest rate cut supported risk assets.

The, which measures the greenback’s performance against the basket of developed markets economies was 0.1% lower at 95.10 by 3:15 PM ET (815 GMT). This brings its year-to date losses to 0.5%. Its only notable gain was against the safe-haven yen, a day ahead of the Bank of Japan’s regular monetary policy meeting. The index rose 0.2%, to 114.35.

High-yielding commodities-linked currencies were the largest gainers. This was due to the perception that this move would support raw materials demand. The Australian Dollar rose 0.1% to C$0.7214 while falling 0.2% to C$1.2523. Both the and profited in emerging markets from the lack of direction by the dollar.

The rose 0.1% to trade at 6.3491 to the dollar, still near a three-year high after the People’s Bank of China cut its one-year rate for the first time in nearly two years, by 0.1% to 2.85%. 

This move was made on the heels of fresh data showing that the Chinese economy slows in fourth quarter. A spate of lockdowns relating to Covid-19 and an expanding crisis in key realty sector hit output and consumption.

China’s retail sales declined sharply in December. However, industrial production and fixed assets investment were slightly higher than anticipated.

Inflation signs are improving and further lockdowns have been raised. This contrasts with the majority of the rest, which has central banks trying to control inflation.

Short-term interest rate futures in Europe imply that even the European Central Bank will be forced to raise its key rate before the year-end, despite strenuous signalling to the contrary from the bank’s top management.

The euro and sterling in Europe have not been able to surpass the previous week’s two-month highs and are now largely at sea. While the euro rose 0.1% to $1.1425, the pound gained 0.1% to $1.3682. This is despite reports suggesting that Boris Johnson could be removed from office due his repeated violation of Covid regulations.

Elsewhere the economy was stable, though it still faces pressure due to tensions in Ukraine. Late last week, talks broke down over Russian demands that Ukraine be guaranteed that NATO will not join it. Russia’s foreign ministry warned that the country “will not hesitate forever” When oil prices are high, the ruble usually increases in value, and traded at 76.20 against the dollar.

 

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