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Tech sell-off has VCs worried about a drop in startup valuations

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Some investors fear that after an unprecedented year of venture capital deals, the boom may be over soon. 

CB Insights reports that tech start-ups received $621 billion worldwide in venture capital in 2021. This is more than twice the amount raised in the previous year. From 959 to 69%, there were now more than 1,000 privately held “unicorns” valued at over $1 billion.

Stripe and Klarna were private companies that saw their values rise to the tens billions of millions of dollars. This was due in part to a flood cash, which came about as a result both of the Covid-19 pandemic and ultra-loose money policy.

The Federal Reserve is now available hinting at plans to hike interest ratesHigh-growth technology firms have been unable to attract investors as they seek to lower rising prices. This is the Nasdaq CompositeThis year, the economy has seen a drop of over 15%. The fear of tighter policies has caused a shift in growth stocks to sectors that could benefit from higher rates like financials.

The panic surrounding the tech selloff in the private market is beginning to take hold. According to VC investors, they have already heard about deal renegotiated at lower valuations or even withdrawals of term sheets. They say that companies at the later stages of their development are most likely to suffer the most, and some plans for going public may be put on hold.

Blossom capital founder Ophelia brown stated, “It is definitely trickling through into the private market and the late-stage rounds.” “Term Sheets are being renegotiated. Some term sheets are being renegotiated.

It is similar to the negative feelings about investing in start-ups around the Covid epidemic. Sequoia in March 2020 warned investors of the “turbulence” that would befall them. blog postIt is reminiscent of the 2008 presentation.R.I.P. Good Times.” A few start-ups had their initial valuations cut, and others saw their term sheets removed. This was for a very brief time.

The rest was just a matter of time. banner year for start-up investmentGlobally, there will be $294 billion raised by companies in the sector. Tiger Global, a major player in the market was able to support tech companies at earlier stages of their development than ever before. Traditional investors were seeking returns through alternative assets.

Brown feels that some reactions to tech stocks both privately and publicly traded have been too extreme. However, he believes most start ups will be able withstand a change in economic cycles given the amount of money available on the private markets.

According to her, “There’s still so much dry material for new funding rounds.” “Most companies are well-funded and should be able, except if they’re being reckless with their cash, to make it through.”

Rounds down

Only a handful of companies have been able to successfully raise significant financing rounds within the first week of 2012. Checkout.com (a U.K. payments company Brown invested in), secured a $1B deal for a record $40 billion value, while Bolt Estonia, a ride-hailing business, was awarded a $24 billion deal. secured an $8.4 billion valuationFundraise for $711 Million

However, some VCs fear that there may soon be a “down round”, in which start-ups receive funding at a less than the valuation of earlier rounds. According to them, companies in the final stages of funding are most likely to suffer the greatest impact.

Saar Gur (general partner, venture capital firm CRV) stated that pricing will experience more downward pressure in the later stages.

Gur stated, “We’ll see greater valuation compression” and that it will be more difficult to obtain many rounds in later stages. Gur said, “And companies won’t have such quick mark-ups without more business progress.”

Gur, an early investor at DoorDash said many private start ups have achieved multibillion dollars valuations using comparisons with multiples on the stock exchange. He says that many high-flying tech firms have had their shares prices drop and competitors could follow them in private markets.

Gur said that the outlook isn’t all doom & gloom. He believes there are still great opportunities for capital growth.

Dotcom bust

Hoxton Ventures’ partner Hussein Kanji thinks that as liquidity becomes tighter, private tech firms will be forced to stop plans to launch initial public offerings.

Kanji said, “I believe the IPO window is closed.” Kanji stated that funds from companies which were expecting to be out by 2022 would likely remain stalled.

Kanji stated that there is still plenty of money available in SPACs or special-purpose acquisitions companies. SPACs, which are shell companies listed on the stock exchange, take private other firms through merger deals. These companies have raised approximately $1.5 billion in 2021. record $145 billionIt was almost twice the amount of previous years.

Some investors are concerned that tighter regulation could result in stock markets plummeting to the same extent as the bubblebursting. dot-com bubbleThe early 2000s. It’s important to note that there has been concern for a while about the bubble effect in U.S. stock markets.

“I am curious to find out if this is what it looks like.” [a]Correction of dot-com and protracted [just] a blip,” said Kanji.

Brown who has previously worked with Index Ventures (and LocalGlobe) says that no matter what happens, the early stage firms will not be affected.

She said that it will be some time before the impact of tech share losses hits early-stage companies. However, earlier stage companies have been “always somewhat protected from public markets.”

Brown suggests that mergers or acquisitions may be an alternative path for businesses who had previously held out on going public.

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